However, research following the Cypriot referendum ofidentified four distinct voting behaviors depending on the election type.
July 14, Or maybe professional journalists have very little influence at all. Many people now get their news by clicking on articles from social media, where your friends and a filtering algorithm decide what you see. Media can effect a voters decision does the media still matter?
Does attention get results for candidates, regardless of what is said? And if it does, how should journalists cover elections fairly and responsibly? These are the questions I wanted to try to answer, at least as they relate the current U. But you have to start somewhere, so I decided to compare the number of times each candidate has been mentioned in the U.
To my surprise, the two line up almost exactly. Percentage of online media mentions and percentage primary voters supporting each candidate, Q4 Republican candidates were mentioned about twice as often as Democratic candidates overall, but this chart compares each candidate to the others within their party.
Depending on what corner of the political universe you come from, it may surprise you to learn that both Trump and Sanders were covered in proportion to their poll results — at least online.
Pretty much everyone was. The exceptions are Jeb Bush, who seems to have been covered twice as much as his standing would suggest, and Carson, who might have been slightly under-covered. All of these things might be very important in the larger context of democracy, but they seem to be less important in terms of primary poll results.
In particular, Trump has received much more negative coverage than his GOP competitors, to little apparent effect.
I admit I was a bit shocked to discover how closely the percentage of media mentions and the percentage of voter support align. Nate Silver found that this pattern holds in U. How do all the numbers on this chart just line up? Does this mean the media exert near-total control over the political process?
But it seems reasonable to imagine that media attention has some effect on the polls. The media or the polls? But there are two other ways that these variables can become highly correlated. First, causality could go the other way. The polls could drive the media.
Journalists have to follow audience attention or risk getting ignored. And if voters are also readers, a candidate who is twice as popular might get twice the number of views and shares.
More on that later. For example, attention on social media could drive both. A single post can go viral and reach millions without any involvement from professional journalists.
Or perhaps endorsements from famous people and organizations are the key to influence, as political scientists have long suspected. And then there are the candidates themselves: These are the basic causal forces, the only possible ways that media attention and polling results can become so closely aligned.
One way to test for causality is to ask whether a change in coverage precedes a change in the polls, or vice versa. Yet once again, coverage and popularity follow each other closely.
But the results were inconclusive — they depended on exactly how the model was put together. This suggests that the causality goes both ways. Weekly online media mentions of Trump vs.After 'Shelby County' Ruling, Are Voting Rights Endangered?
Following the Shelby County decision, courts or the Department of Justice to forestall or enjoin adverse impacts before restrictive new policies are put into effect.
Voters can, of course, seek remedies based upon constitutional and other statutory grounds—but generally only. Because voters and the office holders are aware that the yes-man media will only criticize an office holder when he or she has very clearly made an error, the office holder is free to make what he thinks is the right policy choice without worrying about media criticism, a counter-intuitive finding that surprised the researchers.
Citizens learn about politics and government primarily from television and newspapers. These media outlets can influence voters not only through the slant of a particular report, but also merely by choosing which to stories to cover.
These media outlets can influence voters not only through the slant of a particular report, but also merely by choosing which to stories to cover.
Recent studies suggest that media exposure can have a sizable impact in shaping the .
factors with voting behavior-can be explained as follows: The voter is pressed to make a decision. He is asked, in effect, to predict the probable future behavior of rival candidates, to assess the impact of this behavior on interests he considers im . To the degree that media attention causes a candidate to become more popular, there’s a winner-take-all effect here: The leading candidate will get the most coverage, boosting their lead.
Meanwhile, the media has the potential to trap a candidate in last place because they can’t get the coverage they would need in order to rise in the polls.